If his lead holds up as the results are tallied, Garcia, 44, will fill a seat that became vacant after Democrat Katie Hill resigned last year following a scandal in which intimate photographs of her were published online and she faced accusations of sexual relations with staffers. With about 140,000 votes counted, Garcia was ahead of Democratic California state legislator Christy Smith by 55.9% to 44.1% in the state's 25th congressional district, preliminary results from the California Secretary of State's office said. To wrest back the majority, Republicans will need to win at least nine districts Biden carried in 2020 - including some held by their own vulnerable incumbents.WASHINGTON: Republicans moved closer to recapturing a seat in the US Congress on Tuesday as Mike Garcia, a former Navy fighter pilot endorsed by President Donald Trump, led in preliminary results from a special election north of Los Angeles. The six types of races that will decide the HouseĪt a time when both parties’ bases are energized and independent voters are torn between Democrats’ warnings on abortion and Republicans’ overtures on inflation, crime and immigration, the House is far from a foregone conclusion. However, there are also exceptions: GOP primaries in roughly seven districts won by Joe Biden produced “MAGA” true-believers who could prove cultural mismatches for their areas: Kelly Cooper (Arizona’s 4th District), John Gibbs (Michigan’s 3rd District), Sam Peters (Nevada’s 4th District), Bob Burns (New Hampshire’s 2nd District), Sandy Smith (North Carolina’s 1st District), Bo Hines (North Carolina’s 13th District) and Yesli Vega (Virginia’s 7th District) could all weaken GOP prospects of flipping otherwise winnable seats. In 2020, the same recruitment strategy spearheaded by Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy proved effective: All 16 Republicans who flipped Democratic seats that year are women and/or minorities. Jen Kiggans, a nurse practitioner and former Navy pilot challenging Democratic Rep. Air Force in Iraq and is challenging Democratic Rep. These include Jennifer-Ruth Green, a Black airline pilot who served as a mission commander for counterintelligence activities with the U.S. Of the GOP nominees running in the 47 most vulnerable Democratic districts, 45% are military veterans, 34% are women, 23% are nonwhite - and 70% fall into at least one of those categories. Cheri Bustos (Illinois’ 17th District), Conor Lamb (Pennsylvania’s 17th District) and Ron Kind (Wisconsin’s 3rd District).īy contrast, there are 28 House Republicans not seeking re-election, but only six of those seats are vulnerable to takeover by Democrats.įinally, unlike in the Senate, House Republicans mostly succeeded in recruiting strong candidates for swing seats who have appealing personal stories and don’t look or sound like Donald Trump. Of those, 14 seats are vulnerable to GOP takeover - including seats left open by popular moderates such as Reps. There are 36 House Democrats not running for re-election, mostly because many opted to retire rather than risk serving in the wilderness of the minority. Open seats also play into Republicans’ advantage. Nationally, Republicans are likely to net three to four House seats from new maps alone - most of the five seats they need to regain the majority. Ron DeSantis overpowered his own Legislature to pass a map that adds an additional four GOP seats.
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